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Brexit may have begun but it is not over, indeed it may never be finished.

Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Good news this holiday season for America

Brexiter

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Good news even without considering Trump’s legal issues!

NYT:

Why Democrats Feel Surprisingly Good Heading Into 2023


President Biden’s polling has ticked upward. Gas prices are down. And Republicans are at loggerheads.

One of the most telling insights about Biden’s popularity, to me, came in a recent memo by John Anzalone and Matt Hogan of Impact Research, one of the polling companies that do work for Biden. The memo noted that in the 2014 and 2018 midterm elections, voters who “somewhat disapproved” of Obama and Trump voted against their party by more than 20 percentage points.

Not this year, the authors wrote, “with those who somewhat disapproved of President Biden favoring Democratic congressional candidates by a 25-point margin.”



Democratic strategists are also closely watching the jockeying between DeSantis and Trump in the (very) early stages of the Republican presidential primary. Many see DeSantis as potentially formidable, but also vulnerable on three main fronts in a general election matchup.

This was featured yesterday, but I wanted to highlight some different things in the piece. Perhaps the most important thing to consider is that Republican extremism is unpopular. It’s all too real, and/but it’s unpopular. OTOH, governance as an election issue is underrated.

pic.twitter.com/iLRDAPAWUO

— Jim Wright ?️‍????? (@JimWrig08299591) December 17, 2022


AP:

What Trump promised, Biden seeks to deliver in his own way

Donald Trump pledged to fix U.S. infrastructure as president. He vowed to take on China and bulk up American manufacturing. He said he would reduce the budget deficit and make the wealthy pay their fair share of taxes.

Yet after two years as president, it’s Joe Biden who is acting on those promises. He jokes that he’s created an “infrastructure decade” after Trump merely managed a near parody of “infrastructure weeks.” His legislative victories are not winning him votes from Trump loyalists or boosting his overall approval ratings. But they reflect a major pivot in how the government interacts with the economy at a time when many Americans fear a recession and broader national decline.

Gone are blanket tax cuts. No more unfettered faith in free trade with non-democracies. The Biden White House has committed more than $1.7 trillion to the belief that a mix of government aid, focused policies and bureaucratic expertise can deliver long-term growth that lifts up the middle class. This reverses the past administration’s view that cutting regulations and taxes boosted investments by businesses that flowed downward to workers.

Trickle down economics has never worked for average people. It’s always been a scam for lower business taxes, and for them it works fine.

Embedded Content

Well, there’s that.


Matthew Yglesias/Slow Boring:

The good news on America's cleaner water

Things are improving, and recent legislation will make it even better

Oysters are returning to New York Harbor, and while the water is not yet clean enough to safely eat the oysters, their return is a double dose of good news about the quality of the water in the Hudson River.

...

It turns out, per an April Gallup survey, that the cleanliness of American water is the public’s top environmental concern. I think this is worth further discussion because it seems like an area of largely unheralded good news in which the New York and D.C. situations are fairly typical of the national average.


Water Resources Act is a classic win for "Secret Congress". Enviro groups praise it, bipartisan support (83-11 in Senate via NDAA), no one talks about it--which both makes passage much easier, but leads people to think "Congress never does anything!" https://t.co/58fymuKB8v pic.twitter.com/ihebeeZKkD

— Aaron Strauss (@aaronstrauss) December 18, 2022


Bill Kristol and Jeffrey K Tulis/Bulwark:

Should an Election Denier Be Speaker of the House?

The Constitution matters more than Kevin McCarthy.


The speaker is supposed, at least some of the time, to speak institutionally for the whole House of Representatives, which in turn represents the whole nation.

It’s true that in modern practice the speaker is most often little more than the leader of the majority party in the House. But the speaker is not supposed to be merely a party leader. The role of speaker is different from that of majority leader. One sees this in the fact that the speaker is an officer of the whole House not of one political party.

And one sees this in the fact the speaker is a constitutional office, mentioned explicitly in Article I and in the Twenty-fifth Amendment. And in the fact that he or she is second in line for succession to the presidency: If there is no president and no vice president to succeed to the office of the presidency, the speaker of the House becomes the acting president.

In his speech and action, Kevin McCarthy has shown no evidence that he cares about the constitutional order. His focus is entirely on the political prospects of his party. His preoccupation is understandable for a party leader. But he now seeks to be elevated from a partisan to a constitutional officer without demonstrating any evident sense of the national responsibility the new role entails.


The January 6th Select Committee met Sunday to finalize plans to issue criminal referrals for Donald Trump- including obstructing an official proceeding, conspiracy to defraud the government, and inciting or assisting an insurrection @NBCNews has exclusively learned.

— Chris Jansing (@ChrisJansing) December 18, 2022


Caroline Vakil/The Hill:

Why the issue of crime didn’t deliver for Republicans in the midterms

At the same time, Republicans say a mix of factors, like the outsized influence of national issues, poor strategy and voter geography, influenced why the issue of crime didn’t resonate with voters as well as they’d hoped. They also say multiple issues at play can make understanding midterm dynamics especially tricky.

“The issue of crime is — it’s like a supporting cast member. So you need to have it in your issue set, and you need to connect the importance of public safety and crime into the number one issue, which is the economy. I don’t think that Republicans effectively made that argument,” said GOP strategist John Thomas.

Thomas said campaigns could’ve created “connective tissue” messaging that linked crime with topics on voters’ minds, for instance arguing that the economy would be impacted if business owners couldn’t ensure the safety of their businesses.

“I rarely saw what we were just discussing where candidates for Congress were tethering the top issue sets together and explaining why everything is an economic issue, whether it’s crime, or education or inflation,” Thomas said, speaking about House races specifically. “I think by and large Republicans missed the mark, both at an individual candidate level, and … I never saw any of those arguments coming from leadership at the national level.”

That’s because Republican leadership at the national level doesn’t really care about either the wedge issues they profess to, or their voters. Rank and file GOP lawmakers do care about things (generally things designed to hurt their enemies) , but they are different than their passionless, bloodless leaders. People like Kevin McCarthy, who care only about the trappings of power but have no core principles, are prime examples.

Woke Vatican https://t.co/atZpCw2ijr

— Bill Scher (@billscher) December 18, 2022

WaPo:

DeSantis reverses himself on coronavirus vaccines, moves to right of Trump


In a potential wedge issue for the 2024 primary, DeSantis is attacking the life-saving covid shots he once praised and promoted


“We’re having more vaccine because of this, which is great,” DeSantis said of a federal program shipping shots to pharmacies in February 2021.


But this past week, DeSantis threw himself into misleadingly disparaging the vaccines, convening skeptics to buck guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and seeking to investigate vaccine makers for fraud.


“These companies have made a fortune off this federal government imposing or at least attempting to impose mandates, and a lot of false statements,” DeSantis said at the roundtable event on Wednesday. “I think people want the truth and I think people want accountability, so you need to have a thorough investigation into what’s happened with these shots.”

The Fourth Law of Robotics: That which wins primaries loses general elections.

One notable anti vaccine term (yes there's a whole jargon) is "pureblood" for the unvaccinated. Adds that edge of racial/eugenic superiority which is highly revealing when used.

— Neil Stone (@DrNeilStone) December 17, 2022


Meanwhile, here’s a trio on Musk. Twitter. Content Moderation.:

Again, I fully understand why people are done with Twitter. But let’s at least remember that the livelihoods of some really important voices out there depend on the community and platform they have built here. If that’s gone, they simply won’t be able to keep doing their thing.

— Thomas Zimmer (@tzimmer_history) December 18, 2022


Linette Lopez/Insider (and currently suspended from Twitter):

Elon's stale playbook

At Tesla and SpaceX, Elon Musk was a jerk with a grand vision. At Twitter, he's just a jerk.

Here's the Musk playbook: Enter a field with very little competition. Claim that your new company will solve a massive, global problem or achieve a seemingly impossible goal. Raise money from a fervent group of true believers and keep them on the hook with flashy, half-baked product ideas. Suck up billions from the government. Underpay, undervalue, and overwork your employees. Repeat.

There were some amusing responses to this:

Should I step down as head of Twitter? I will abide by the results of this poll.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) December 18, 2022

As of now, it’s still 57% step down, please, like yesterday.

This race is way too unorthodoxx to call. Need to know the precise locations of the outstanding voters. https://t.co/6xoc0VEAgw

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) December 19, 2022

The outstanding vote is, of course, in crucial Waukesha county.

Yvonne Abraham/Boston Globe:

Pay no attention to the small men behind the curtain

Elon Musk and Donald Trump give the lie to the stubborn American myth that the rich are better than you and me


Boy, do people in this country have a thing for the very rich. Americans seem to worship them, convinced they got that way because they’re smarter, and work harder, than anybody else. That’s no coincidence: Our up-by-the-bootstraps gospel — preached for so long, and leveraged by trickle-downers trying to avoid regulation and fair taxes — helps keep the very rich very rich.

But even the most devoted fans have had their commitment tested lately, as two of the country’s most celebrated rich people have further revealed the pathetic clowns behind their myths.


More mysteries than answers around the stalking incident Elon Musk referenced ahead of his journo bans. So far, police say, there’s no evidence ElonJet was used or involved. Great reporting from ⁦@TaylorLorenz⁩ and ⁦@drewharwellhttps://t.co/4qBtuYzFDT

— Benjamin Goggin (@BenjaminGoggin) December 19, 2022


Tim Miller/The Bulwark:

Three Cheers For Content Moderation

There is no one-size-fits-all pro-free-speech answer to the intractable content moderation paradox.
A couple years ago when chinless Trump spokesperson Jason Miller launched Gettr, one of the myriad alt-right “free speech” social media platforms, I wrote about the pitfalls he was going to face and summed up his challenge this way:
The question has persisted for sites big and small since the days of the very first usenet groups: How do you balance user experience with the internet’s promise of unhindered expression?

This is the great content moderation paradox. Gettr crashed and burned in its attempts to navigate it. But Miller wasn’t alone. From scammers to bots to trolls to obnoxious jerks to impersonation to threats (and what constitutes a threat) to sending “assassination coordinates,” countless forum moderators have failed to come up with a clean answer. Some have done better than others. All have failed to please everyone.


This week's blog post: Elon Musk, Fox News, and Free Speech Absolutism The thing about liars is that you never know whether they are lying because they are evil, or whether they are deeply disturbed. Either way, they are destructive. https://t.co/WKkujSIgAD 1/

— Teri Kanefield (@Teri_Kanefield) December 18, 2022
 
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