Downballot primaries continue tonight with races in four states. We'll begin our live coverage at 8 PM ET when polls close in Missouri and nearly all of Kansas and Michigan. Polls close in the rest of Kansas and Michigan at 9 PM ET, and voting ends in Washington at 11 PM ET. We'll be liveblogging the results here and also covering the returns closely on X.
Key Races: Previews | Live cheat-sheet
Results: Associated Press | New York Times | Politico
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:42:08 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
We are going to call it a night at Daily Kos Elections; naturally, it will probably be several days (if not weeks) before we know some of these outcomes, especially in Washington, where vote-by-mail ballots postmarked today will continue to be tallied.
We know the matchups in the few top-tier races tonight, however. The competitive Michigan Senate race will, as expected, pit Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin against Republican ex-Rep. Mike Rogers. The Missouri gubernatorial race is a matchup between Democrat Crystal Quade and Republican Lt. Governor Mike Kehoe. The Washington gubernatorial race, as predicted, will see Democratic Attorney General Bob Ferguson face off against Republican ex-Rep. Dave Reichert.
We also have some outstanding question marks, maybe most prominently the Democratic primary in the 13th district in the Detroit area in Michigan. Democratic incumbent Shri Thanedar and challenger Mary Waters appear to be nearly tied according to county election offices, although the AP is reporting only a handful of votes tallied so far. Also unclear is the Democratic primary in the 8th district where Slotkin is retiring to run for Senate; currently, Kristen McDonald Rivet has a 56-28 lead over Matt Collier, but there is no AP call yet.
Finally, we are waiting on any sort of call in Washington’s 4th district — where Republican incumbent Dan Newhouse is fighting to hold on this red district against several further-right challengers — and 6th district, where Democrat Emily Randall appears to be the likely successor to retiring Dem Derek Kilmer. We will also need to watch the Washington Public Lands Commissioner race, where multiple Dems may have split the vote to the extent that two Republicans may advance to November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:20:11 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
MI-03: We also know who Democratic first-termer Hillary Scholten will face in November; the AP has called the Republican primary for Paul Hudson, who defeats Michael Markey 54-46.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:16:05 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
MI-10: The AP has called the Democratic primary in the suburban 10th district, scene of one of the closest races of the 2022 election. Democratic ex-judge Carl Marlinga is the winner and will face off in a rematch with Republican incumbent John James. Marlinga, at 48, leads Diane Young at 26 and Emily Busch at 14.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:12:44 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
Washington Public Lands Commissioner: As was potentially forecast in the one poll we have seen of this overcrowded race for this powerful but rarely-thought-about statewide position, Democrats are at high risk of being shut out. Currently, Republican ex-Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (last seen losing the 2022 WA-03 primary) is at 23, with a second Republican, Sue Kuehl Pederson, leading Democratic King Co. Councilor Dave Upthegrove by 4,000 votes (both Kuehl Pederson and Upthegrove are at 20, ahead of four other Democrats who split the D vote). Outstanding King County votes may save the day for Upthegrove, so we will need to watch the count as it unfolds over the coming days.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:06:15 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
MI-13: While there is next to nothing about this race on the AP site, if you add up numbers from the Detroit and Wayne County sites, we are having a remarkably close race between Democratic incumbent Shri Thanedar and primary rival Mary Waters! Currently, Waters leads Thanedar by 21 votes out of 30,000 reporting. Needless to say, we are unlikely to know the winner of this race tonight.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:02:31 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
KS-02: In the blast from the past department, Democratic ex-Rep. Nancy Boyda (who served from 2006 until her 2008 loss) is back; the AP has called Boyda as the winner of the Democratic primary in this reddish district, as she leads Matt Kleinmann 52-48 with 97% reporting. Boyda will face Republican ex-Attorney General Derek Schmidt in November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:57:04 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
WA-03, WA-05: In Washington's 3rd district, the AP has unsurprisingly called the two slots for Democratic incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and 2022 Republican opponent Joe Kent, currently at 47 and 38 respectively. One word of caution: Kent plus 3rd place Republican finisher Leslie Lewallen (at 12) cumulatively add up to 50, which points to some potential hazard for Gluesenkamp Perez.
In the Spokane-area 5th district, where Republican incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers is retiring, Republican Spokane County Treasurer Michael Baumgartner has secured the first spot, at 28%. Baumgartner's likeliest November opponent is Democrat Carmela Conroy, who is at 20 and leading Republican state Sen. Jacquelin Maycumber at 12.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:31:36 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
WA-06: Here, there was a chance of an all-Democratic general election, but those odds appear to have dimmed somewhat. Democratic state senator Emily Randall leads with 33%, and Republican state legislator Drew MacEwen currently holds the second slot with 31%. Hillary Franz, the state lands commissioner endorsed by outgoing Democratic Rep. Derek Kilmer, is within striking distance at 26%, but will need to make up around 5500 votes to pass MacEwen.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:28:34 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
WA-04: It looks increasingly as if there will be an all-Republican showdown in November again, featuring incumbent Rep. Dan Newhouse and 2022 candidate Jerrold Sessler, who was the recipient of one of two Trump endorsements in this district. Sessler leads Newhouse 30-25, with the other Trump endorsee, 2022 Senate nominee Tiffany Smiley, currently in third with 20% of the vote.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:20:51 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
Washington: The two major statewide races already have projections, though neither of them are particularly surprising. In the “top-two” primaries native to Washington State, incumbent Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell has been projected to move onto November, challenged by Republican Raul Garcia. At the moment (though many red counties have yet to offer up their vote totals), Cantwell leads Garcia 59-21. In the open gubernatorial race to replace outgoing Gov. Jay Inslee, Democratic state Attorney General Bob Ferguson and Republican former Congressman Dave Reichert have moved on to November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:01:36 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-01 (D): And there it is. With so few favorable precincts left and a 5800-vote disadvantage still to be overcome, it looks like Cori Bush has run out of real estate. The AP has called this Democratic primary for challenger Wesley Bell, denying Bush a third term in the U.S. Congress.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:58:24 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-01 (D): The good news for Rep. Cori Bush is that she finally cut substantially into Wesley Bell’s raw vote advantage. The bad news is that it took almost all of the outstanding votes in St. Louis City to do it. Bush has moved into the lead in the city by a solid margin (53-44), but with little of the city left to count, Wesley Bell still holds a 51-46 overall advantage, with mostly precincts left to count out in St. Louis County.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:55:52 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-03 (R): A huge reversal of fortune here. With a big drop of votes from exurban St. Louis (St. Charles and Jefferson Counties), Trump-endorsed Bob Onder has moved into a 45-39 lead over Kurt Schaefer, endorsed by outgoing Rep. Blaine Leutkemeyer.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:51:50 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-Gov: We now know one-half of the field for Missouri Governor in November, as the AP has called the Democratic primary for House Minority Leader Crystal Quade, who has moved out to a comfortable 50-32 lead over businessman Mike Hamra. On the Republican side, Lt. Governor Mike Kehoe has led comfortably from the get go. He actually has his smallest lead to date at this time, but it still a probably insurmountable 40-32 edge over state Senator Bill Eigel. The raw vote edge is roughly 50,000 votes in Kehoe’s favor, which feels highly unlikely to get reversed with over 80% of the vote counted.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:44:47 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-01 (D): The much anticipated showdown here is giving us a nice object lesson in election-night math. You might think the race is tightening, given that what was a 55-42 lead for challenger Wesley Bell is now a 53.5-43.2 lead. But, at the same time, incumbent Democratic Rep. Cori Bush has lost ground in what ultimately matters most: the raw vote count. What once was a 7000-vote deficit that Bush needed to make up is now a 9300-vote margin. To put it simply, Bell is still winning these vote drops, just by less than his previous margin. Bush needs to actually cut into the raw vote lead to have any hope, but with 71 percent of the vote counted, she’s running out of real estate.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:39:56 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-03 (R): It’s still not over, but Donald Trump and the Freedom Caucus types in Congress might be edging toward a rare setback in a Republican primary between two former state Senators. Kurt Schaefer, endorsed by both outgoing Rep. Blaine Leutkemeyer and a PAC devoted to stopping hard-line candidates (think the Gaetz/MTG caucus), now leads Trump-endorsed Bob Onder 47-37 with nearly 60% reporting.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:31:54 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
Johnson County Sheriff: Some unmitigated good news here. Incumbent sheriff Calvin Hayden, an unabashed election conspiracy theorist who had (ab)used his office tilting at election fraud windmills, has lost the Republican primary for Sheriff. Former undersheriff Doug Bedford will now face Democratic local police chief Byron Roberson in November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:29:03 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
KS-03 (R): We kick off hour three of tonight’s coverage with an AP call, as they declare that Prasanth Reddy, who has cobbled together a seven-figure warchest, has defeated Karen Crnkovich by a highly unimpressive 53-47 margin. Veteran Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids was the betting favorite anyway, but Reddy really should’ve won without breaking a sweat here.
Key Races: Previews | Live cheat-sheet
Results: Associated Press | New York Times | Politico
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:42:08 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
We are going to call it a night at Daily Kos Elections; naturally, it will probably be several days (if not weeks) before we know some of these outcomes, especially in Washington, where vote-by-mail ballots postmarked today will continue to be tallied.
We know the matchups in the few top-tier races tonight, however. The competitive Michigan Senate race will, as expected, pit Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin against Republican ex-Rep. Mike Rogers. The Missouri gubernatorial race is a matchup between Democrat Crystal Quade and Republican Lt. Governor Mike Kehoe. The Washington gubernatorial race, as predicted, will see Democratic Attorney General Bob Ferguson face off against Republican ex-Rep. Dave Reichert.
We also have some outstanding question marks, maybe most prominently the Democratic primary in the 13th district in the Detroit area in Michigan. Democratic incumbent Shri Thanedar and challenger Mary Waters appear to be nearly tied according to county election offices, although the AP is reporting only a handful of votes tallied so far. Also unclear is the Democratic primary in the 8th district where Slotkin is retiring to run for Senate; currently, Kristen McDonald Rivet has a 56-28 lead over Matt Collier, but there is no AP call yet.
Finally, we are waiting on any sort of call in Washington’s 4th district — where Republican incumbent Dan Newhouse is fighting to hold on this red district against several further-right challengers — and 6th district, where Democrat Emily Randall appears to be the likely successor to retiring Dem Derek Kilmer. We will also need to watch the Washington Public Lands Commissioner race, where multiple Dems may have split the vote to the extent that two Republicans may advance to November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:20:11 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
MI-03: We also know who Democratic first-termer Hillary Scholten will face in November; the AP has called the Republican primary for Paul Hudson, who defeats Michael Markey 54-46.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:16:05 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
MI-10: The AP has called the Democratic primary in the suburban 10th district, scene of one of the closest races of the 2022 election. Democratic ex-judge Carl Marlinga is the winner and will face off in a rematch with Republican incumbent John James. Marlinga, at 48, leads Diane Young at 26 and Emily Busch at 14.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:12:44 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
Washington Public Lands Commissioner: As was potentially forecast in the one poll we have seen of this overcrowded race for this powerful but rarely-thought-about statewide position, Democrats are at high risk of being shut out. Currently, Republican ex-Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (last seen losing the 2022 WA-03 primary) is at 23, with a second Republican, Sue Kuehl Pederson, leading Democratic King Co. Councilor Dave Upthegrove by 4,000 votes (both Kuehl Pederson and Upthegrove are at 20, ahead of four other Democrats who split the D vote). Outstanding King County votes may save the day for Upthegrove, so we will need to watch the count as it unfolds over the coming days.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:06:15 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
MI-13: While there is next to nothing about this race on the AP site, if you add up numbers from the Detroit and Wayne County sites, we are having a remarkably close race between Democratic incumbent Shri Thanedar and primary rival Mary Waters! Currently, Waters leads Thanedar by 21 votes out of 30,000 reporting. Needless to say, we are unlikely to know the winner of this race tonight.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 4:02:31 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
KS-02: In the blast from the past department, Democratic ex-Rep. Nancy Boyda (who served from 2006 until her 2008 loss) is back; the AP has called Boyda as the winner of the Democratic primary in this reddish district, as she leads Matt Kleinmann 52-48 with 97% reporting. Boyda will face Republican ex-Attorney General Derek Schmidt in November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:57:04 AM +00:00 · David Jarman
WA-03, WA-05: In Washington's 3rd district, the AP has unsurprisingly called the two slots for Democratic incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and 2022 Republican opponent Joe Kent, currently at 47 and 38 respectively. One word of caution: Kent plus 3rd place Republican finisher Leslie Lewallen (at 12) cumulatively add up to 50, which points to some potential hazard for Gluesenkamp Perez.
In the Spokane-area 5th district, where Republican incumbent Cathy McMorris Rodgers is retiring, Republican Spokane County Treasurer Michael Baumgartner has secured the first spot, at 28%. Baumgartner's likeliest November opponent is Democrat Carmela Conroy, who is at 20 and leading Republican state Sen. Jacquelin Maycumber at 12.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:31:36 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
WA-06: Here, there was a chance of an all-Democratic general election, but those odds appear to have dimmed somewhat. Democratic state senator Emily Randall leads with 33%, and Republican state legislator Drew MacEwen currently holds the second slot with 31%. Hillary Franz, the state lands commissioner endorsed by outgoing Democratic Rep. Derek Kilmer, is within striking distance at 26%, but will need to make up around 5500 votes to pass MacEwen.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:28:34 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
WA-04: It looks increasingly as if there will be an all-Republican showdown in November again, featuring incumbent Rep. Dan Newhouse and 2022 candidate Jerrold Sessler, who was the recipient of one of two Trump endorsements in this district. Sessler leads Newhouse 30-25, with the other Trump endorsee, 2022 Senate nominee Tiffany Smiley, currently in third with 20% of the vote.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:20:51 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
Washington: The two major statewide races already have projections, though neither of them are particularly surprising. In the “top-two” primaries native to Washington State, incumbent Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell has been projected to move onto November, challenged by Republican Raul Garcia. At the moment (though many red counties have yet to offer up their vote totals), Cantwell leads Garcia 59-21. In the open gubernatorial race to replace outgoing Gov. Jay Inslee, Democratic state Attorney General Bob Ferguson and Republican former Congressman Dave Reichert have moved on to November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 3:01:36 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-01 (D): And there it is. With so few favorable precincts left and a 5800-vote disadvantage still to be overcome, it looks like Cori Bush has run out of real estate. The AP has called this Democratic primary for challenger Wesley Bell, denying Bush a third term in the U.S. Congress.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:58:24 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-01 (D): The good news for Rep. Cori Bush is that she finally cut substantially into Wesley Bell’s raw vote advantage. The bad news is that it took almost all of the outstanding votes in St. Louis City to do it. Bush has moved into the lead in the city by a solid margin (53-44), but with little of the city left to count, Wesley Bell still holds a 51-46 overall advantage, with mostly precincts left to count out in St. Louis County.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:55:52 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-03 (R): A huge reversal of fortune here. With a big drop of votes from exurban St. Louis (St. Charles and Jefferson Counties), Trump-endorsed Bob Onder has moved into a 45-39 lead over Kurt Schaefer, endorsed by outgoing Rep. Blaine Leutkemeyer.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:51:50 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-Gov: We now know one-half of the field for Missouri Governor in November, as the AP has called the Democratic primary for House Minority Leader Crystal Quade, who has moved out to a comfortable 50-32 lead over businessman Mike Hamra. On the Republican side, Lt. Governor Mike Kehoe has led comfortably from the get go. He actually has his smallest lead to date at this time, but it still a probably insurmountable 40-32 edge over state Senator Bill Eigel. The raw vote edge is roughly 50,000 votes in Kehoe’s favor, which feels highly unlikely to get reversed with over 80% of the vote counted.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:44:47 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-01 (D): The much anticipated showdown here is giving us a nice object lesson in election-night math. You might think the race is tightening, given that what was a 55-42 lead for challenger Wesley Bell is now a 53.5-43.2 lead. But, at the same time, incumbent Democratic Rep. Cori Bush has lost ground in what ultimately matters most: the raw vote count. What once was a 7000-vote deficit that Bush needed to make up is now a 9300-vote margin. To put it simply, Bell is still winning these vote drops, just by less than his previous margin. Bush needs to actually cut into the raw vote lead to have any hope, but with 71 percent of the vote counted, she’s running out of real estate.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:39:56 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
MO-03 (R): It’s still not over, but Donald Trump and the Freedom Caucus types in Congress might be edging toward a rare setback in a Republican primary between two former state Senators. Kurt Schaefer, endorsed by both outgoing Rep. Blaine Leutkemeyer and a PAC devoted to stopping hard-line candidates (think the Gaetz/MTG caucus), now leads Trump-endorsed Bob Onder 47-37 with nearly 60% reporting.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:31:54 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
Johnson County Sheriff: Some unmitigated good news here. Incumbent sheriff Calvin Hayden, an unabashed election conspiracy theorist who had (ab)used his office tilting at election fraud windmills, has lost the Republican primary for Sheriff. Former undersheriff Doug Bedford will now face Democratic local police chief Byron Roberson in November.
UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 7, 2024 · 2:29:03 AM +00:00 · Steve Singiser
KS-03 (R): We kick off hour three of tonight’s coverage with an AP call, as they declare that Prasanth Reddy, who has cobbled together a seven-figure warchest, has defeated Karen Crnkovich by a highly unimpressive 53-47 margin. Veteran Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids was the betting favorite anyway, but Reddy really should’ve won without breaking a sweat here.