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Brexit may have begun but it is not over, indeed it may never be finished.

Republican takes over 'bipartisan' infrastructure effort, House Democrats fight for climate

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Stop me if you’ve already heard this story:

INFRASTRUCTURE: hearing from both parties a deal could come today after many false dawns

— Erik Wasson (@elwasson) July 28, 2021

The current iteration of infrastructure week features a potential hero Republican—“moderate” Rob Portman—and a fiery House Democrat who is working hard to remind everyone that the Senate Republicans who have taken over this process are still the minority in just one part of Congress. In the absence of any concrete details about what’s actually included in the bipartisan plan now in the hands of Republican Sen. Rob Portman and the White House, gossip is about all we’ve got.

However, there is an awful lot at stake, as global climate disasters insist on reminding us. A resurgence of COVID-19 and the threat that poses to economic recovery remains. This is the context in which infrastructure should be debated. That we are in multiple global emergencies, and while it’s certainly too late to future-proof against them now that they’re here, strong action now will mitigate the effects and make the planet habitable for longer.

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It would also go a long way in the short term to boosting the economy. That’s what the Association of Equipment Manufacturers is telling lawmakers with a new analysis. Data firm IHS Markit took the topline numbers from just the bipartisan framework and determined that investment in hard infrastructure would create more than “100,000 above average paying jobs in equipment manufacturing and supporting industries” by the end of 2024. It would create 500,000 overall manufacturing jobs in the next three years. That’s based on the assumptions that the bill would invest $1.1 trillion over eight years starting in 2022, and that 75% of funding would be spent in the first five years.

That’s just one data point on the hard infrastructure side of things. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff analyzed the American Jobs Plan—this hard infrastructure proposal—combined with the American Families Plan—the great stuff for actual people that will be included in the Democrats’ budget reconciliation bill—and determined it could raise GDP by more than 5% in the next three years. Combined, they would create an “inclusive recovery,” IMF staff say.

“Investment in much-needed physical infrastructure should also benefit marginalized communities,” the analysts from IMF said. “The boost to productivity that these investments will produce can support more jobs with sustainably higher wages, in a more equitable economy.”

Then there’s the climate side of things, and this is where House Democrats come in—namely Rep. Peter DeFazio, who is chair of the Transportation Committee and increasingly frustrated and enraged that both the House and the climate have been pushed aside by the talks between Senate Republicans and the White House, and for good reason: DeFazio’s home state is on fire. He’s also already completed a hard infrastructure bill, which has largely been swept aside by Biden and the Senate. To add insult to that injury, his bill would likely be the shell for a Senate reconciliation bill.

In a conference meeting Tuesday, DeFazio reportedly called the deal “crap” and railed against the White House and Republican Sens. Rob Portman and Susan Collin as well as Democratic Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, calling them the three “Republicans” making this Senate deal. Sinema was not included by mistake. “I could give a damn about the White House. We’re an independent branch of government,” DeFazio told reporters after that meeting. “They cut this deal. I didn’t sign off on it.”

He’s fighting to get a conference committee between the House and Senate on this bill so that his climate provisions aren’t left out, and for now has found an ally in Rep. Steny Hoyer, House majority leader. On Tuesday, Hoyer called climate change an “existential threat” and joined DeFazio in slamming the Senate for leaving it out of the bipartisan bill.

“The Senate has limited itself essentially to infrastructure and ignored the consequences—the relationship—between climate and the transportation issues with which we're dealing in infrastructure. So I would hope we would have a conference. I think we need to go to conference; we need to resolve the differences," Hoyer told reporters Tuesday.

DeFazio and Hoyer aren’t the only one who are frustrated about the climate issue. From Senate Budget Chairman Bernie Sanders:

In just the last month's time: - temperatures of 121° in British Columbia - wildfires burning across the United States - deadly flooding in China and in Europe - drought throughout more than 95% of the American West But bold action on climate is 'extreme'? Give me a break.

— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) July 27, 2021

Climate provisions are being included in the reconciliation bill, probably, and have been a bone of contention for that other not-so-much-a-Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin as well as Republicans. They’ve used the $3.5 trillion cost of that bill—a drop in the bucket of what’s going to be needed in the coming decades to save the world—as an excuse to fight the whole of Biden’s initiatives.

Which means that bipartisan deal, should it come together, still has to get 10 Republican votes. That is definitely not guaranteed. But Republicans will be tested potentially as soon as Wednesday or Thursday on that.

Schumer says Senate may vote again as soon as TONIGHT to proceed to bipartisan infrastructure deal. Comes as there’s new optimism a deal is coming together, coming back from the brink of collapse

— Manu Raju (@mkraju) July 28, 2021
 
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