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Live coverage: Ohio Issue 1 and Mississippi primaries

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Ohio is holding its special election for Issue 1, a proposed constitutional amendment backed by Republicans that would make it more difficult to change the state's constitution in the future. Mississippi is also hosting its regularly scheduled party primaries for statewide offices, the state legislature, and other posts, with the GOP contest for lieutenant governor taking center stage. Candidates are required to win a majority of the vote in order to avoid an Aug. 29 runoff.

Results: MS | OH


UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 1:14:35 AM +00:00 · David Nir

Meanwhile, Mississippi continues to count very slowly: Polls closed more than an hour ago but the AP estimates that just 6% of the vote has been tallied. There’s no telling how long we might have to wait, so we’re going to wrap up this liveblog on a triumphant note.

For unparalleled daily coverage of all the most important news from the campaign trail, sign up for our free newsletter, the Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest. We’ll see you at the next liveblog!

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 1:00:56 AM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: The AP has called the race—Issue 1 has lost! Read our complete recap, as well as what this means for the future of direct democracy in Ohio, right here.

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 12:51:23 AM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: Voters in some conservative counties are showing up to support the “yes” side just as strongly as they’ve backed Republican politicians. Putnam County in northwest Ohio is one example: It’s voted 82-18 in favor of Issue 1 (with nearly all votes tallied) and voted 82-16 for Trump three years ago. But this is the most ancestrally Republican part of the state: Putnam voted for Barry Goldwater in 1964, making it just one of five Ohio counties to do so. Kyle Kondik also notes that it’s one of just two majority-Catholic counties in the state.

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 12:48:02 AM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: The group that led the opposition to Issue 1 is declaring victory, though the Associated Press has yet to call the race.

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 12:41:19 AM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: It appears that the advance vote (i.e., early and mail votes) have been tallied in all Ohio counties, and now more Election Day votes have come in. As a result, the “no” side has seen its share drop, but it’s still leading 65-35. One theme is clear, though: In conservative counties, “yes” is running well behind Donald Trump’s performance in 2020.

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 12:22:33 AM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: For the most part, we’re still seeing early/mail votes, but take a look at tiny rural Pike County in the southern part of this state. This super-red county voted 74-25 for Trump. It’s tallied 80% of the vote there so far, which would mean a sizable portion of Election Day votes. But while the “yes” side is prevailing there, it’s only doing so by a 59-41 margin. This means that lots of Republicans are voting “no.”

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 12:14:11 AM +00:00 · David Nir

MS-LG: Polls closed a few minutes ago in Mississippi, but the state tends to be pretty slow to count, so don’t expect results in the completely berserk GOP primary between Lt. Gov. Delbert Hoseman and his challenger, state Sen. Chris McDaniel, for a while.

UPDATE: Wednesday, Aug 9, 2023 · 12:08:32 AM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: “No” is still leading, 70-30 with 21% of the estimated vote in. Did you know that only seven of Ohio’s 88 counties voted for Joe Biden in 2020? They comprise 42% of the electorate and 76% of the state’s Black population. And the six largest counties in the state all went for Biden.

UPDATE: Tuesday, Aug 8, 2023 · 11:49:08 PM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: We’re now at the 10% mark (note that this estimate can wobble up and down a bit, though), and the “no” side on Issue 1—that is, the good guys—is currently up 72-28. While this is almost certainly all still early/mail vote, even very conservative counties are voting heavily against the amendment. Take, for instance, Hocking County southeast of Columbus: It went 70-28 for Donald Trump in 2020, but right now “no” is s up 58-42 with 36% of the vote.

UPDATE: Tuesday, Aug 8, 2023 · 11:40:56 PM +00:00 · David Nir

OH: We have our first trickle of results, but the Associated Press estimates that they represent just 4% of the total expected statewide vote on Issue 1. We always advise waiting until at least 10% of results are in before taking the numbers seriously—and nowadays, even that isn’t always enough. That’s because votes cast before Election Day (by mail or in-person early votes) tend to lean to the left while votes cast on Election Day tend to lean to the right. Many states count the pre-election votes first, so that can lead to big swings as day-of votes are tallied.
 
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