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Republicans are tanking in battleground House districts

Brexiter

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Fresh off congressional Republicans' new job approval rating of 12% comes a poll showing Republican incumbents in battleground districts are in dire shape.

Overall, Republicans in Congress now have a net -22 favorability rating among voters in some 60 battleground districts, 10 points worse than their -12 rating in July, according to the new survey from the progressive consortium Navigator Research.

🚨 NEW from @NavigatorSurvey In the battleground districts 👀 Big decline in favorability rating of "Republicans in Congress" since summer. Republicans in Congress: -22 today (was -12 in July) * 40% say "very unfavorable" pic.twitter.com/fJrQ7PEAWs

— Jesse Ferguson (@JesseFFerguson) November 3, 2023

Congressional Democrats, by comparison, held steady at a -10 favorability rating in both surveys.


An interesting side note from the Navigator bar graph pictured above: "MAGA Republicans," specifically, have a higher "very favorable" rating at 24% than either Republicans (11%) or Democrats (18%). But MAGA Republicans also score the highest "very unfavorable" rating at 50%, compared to Republicans (-40%) and Democrats (-42%). In essence, MAGA Republicans are equally as polarizing as their standard-bearer Donald Trump.

Perhaps the most telling part of the survey related to named incumbents in the competitive congressional districts. Democratic incumbents who were identified by name held a job approval rating of +8, at 40% approve-32% disapprove (relatively unchanged since their +7 approval in July).

Named Republican incumbents, by comparison, held a -10 job approval rating at 33% approve-43% disapprove—8 points worse than their net -2 approval rating in July.

Screenshot2023-11-03at9.54.44AM.png


The bottom line here: In the battleground districts that will decide control of the House next year, voters are relatively pleased with the performance of their Democratic members, and relatively displeased with their Republican members. And not by a small margin—by a double-digit margin.

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